The current renegotiation is arguably the most significant in the partnership's 54-year history. Botswana’s President, Mokgweetsi Masisi, has taken a hardline stance, suggesting the government could walk away if terms do not improve.
Why the aggression now? Because Botswana finally has leverage. De Beers' supply from other major sources, like South Africa and Canada, has dwindled. Furthermore, sanctions on Russian diamonds (Alrosa) have tightened global supply. Botswana is currently the world’s largest producer of diamonds by value. Without Botswana’s output, De Beers would struggle to maintain its dominance in the market.
Timing is everything. Botswana’s push for a new deal comes at the worst possible moment for De Beers—and perhaps the best for Botswana.
The diamond industry is in crisis. Lab-grown diamonds (LGDs) have collapsed the price of low-quality natural stones. A two-carat lab stone that cost $5,000 five years ago now sells for $500. While high-end natural diamonds remain resilient, the middle market is a bloodbath.
De Beers needs stability. Botswana, however, needs diversification. The government has launched a $6 billion initiative to become a diamond hub, including building a new diamond technology park and a forensic gemstone center.
Botswana’s bargaining chip is simple: Give us the rough stones, or we will simply refuse to renew your mining license.
De Beers’ counter is equally simple: We are the only ones with the global marketing machine (the "A Diamond Is Forever" legacy) and the banking relationships to keep prices stable.
To understand the current friction, one must look at the current sales agreement, set to expire soon. The prevailing myth is that Botswana (through its state-owned entity, Okavango Diamond Company) and De Beers are equal partners—a 50/50 joint venture known as Debswana.
On paper, that is true. Debswana mines the diamonds. But here lies the rub: De Beers controls the sight. For decades, virtually all of Botswana’s rough diamonds were sold exclusively through De Beers’ London-based sales arm. Botswana got 50% of the mining profits, but De Beers captured the margin on sorting, valuing, and global distribution.
The result is a lopsided dependency. Botswana’s economy is a diamond monolith—roughly 30% of its GDP, 50% of government revenue, and 80% of its exports are tied to these stones. When De Beers decides to flush the pipeline or lower prices, Botswana bleeds.
Negotiations for a new deal have been ongoing for over a year, and they have turned ugly.
Botswana is not asking for a tweak; it is asking for a revolution. President Masisi wants the state to leap from a passive mining partner to the apex predator of the value chain. He wants a dramatically increased share of rough stones—up to 50% of Debswana’s production—to be sold to the state directly. Furthermore, he wants those stones sold not to De Beers, but to a burgeoning local cutting, polishing, and jewelry manufacturing industry.
In short, Gaborone wants to become Antwerp or Mumbai. It wants to process the diamonds where they are dug.
De Beers, now majority-owned by Anglo American, is resisting. They argue that the global diamond market is fragile. They claim that flooding a landlocked country with rough stones that cannot be sold for top dollar would destroy value. Privately, industry insiders admit that De Beers is terrified of a precedent. If Botswana takes control of its own supply, what stops Canada, South Africa, or Namibia from doing the same? The current renegotiation is arguably the most significant
Is Botswana getting a raw deal? In the strictest financial sense regarding value addition and downstream integration, the answer has historically been yes. The nation has been a passive supplier of raw wealth rather than an active participant in the luxury market.
However, the definition of a "raw deal" is changing. Botswana is no longer the fledgling nation of 1966; it is a sophisticated economic player demanding its rightful share of the value chain. The current negotiations are not just about royalty percentages; they are about the soul of the industry.
If De Beers accedes to Botswana’s demands for more local processing and greater supply control, the "partnership" will finally evolve into equality. If they resist, Botswana may well decide that the "raw deal" is no longer a deal at all.
Is Botswana Getting a Raw Deal From De Beers Diamonds? The decades-long partnership between the Republic of Botswana and De Beers is often cited as the gold standard for public-private cooperation. However, as the global diamond market undergoes a seismic shift, many are asking if the "miracle of African development" is being short-changed. From Gaborone to the boardroom in London, the debate over whether Botswana is getting a raw deal has reached a fever pitch. The Foundation of a Diamond Giant
To understand the current tension, one must look at Debswana—the 50/50 joint venture between the Botswana government and De Beers. For half a century, this partnership has transformed Botswana from one of the world's poorest nations into a middle-income success story. Diamonds account for roughly 30% of the country’s GDP and the vast majority of its foreign exchange earnings.
Under the previous long-term agreements, De Beers held the lion's share of the "marketing" power. While Botswana owned half the mines, the majority of the rough stones were sold through De Beers' global distribution network. The New Deal: Progress or Posturing?
The 2023 negotiations between President Mokgweetsi Masisi and De Beers were uncommonly public and surprisingly aggressive. President Masisi threatened to walk away from the deal entirely unless Botswana received a larger slice of the pie.
The resulting 10-year sales agreement and 25-year mining licenses changed the math significantly:
Direct Sales: The state-owned Okavango Diamond Company (ODC) will see its share of rough diamond production rise from 25% to 50% over the next decade.
Value Chain Inclusion: De Beers committed to investing in local "downstream" activities like cutting, polishing, and jewelry manufacturing.
Development Fund: A multi-billion pula Diamonds for Development Fund was established to diversify Botswana's economy.
While this looks like a win on paper, critics argue that the deal focuses on a "sunset industry." The Lab-Grown Threat
The biggest argument for the "raw deal" theory isn't necessarily De Beers' greed, but the timing of the market. Botswana is fighting for a larger share of a natural diamond market that is facing an existential crisis from Lab-Grown Diamonds (LGDs). De Beers argues that the partnership is symbiotic
LGDs are chemically identical to mined diamonds but cost a fraction of the price. As consumers—particularly Millennials and Gen Z—prioritize price and ethical transparency, the demand for natural stones has softened. Some analysts believe that by the time Botswana gains full control of 50% of its production, the global price for natural rough diamonds may have collapsed to a point where the increased volume cannot offset the lost value. Transparency and the "Middleman" Problem
A persistent grievance in Gaborone is the lack of transparency regarding how De Beers prices diamonds. Because De Beers controls a vast portion of the global supply chain, it has historically set the "standard." Local activists and some politicians argue that:
Botswana lacks the independent capacity to verify if it is getting true market value.
Transfer pricing—where goods are sold between entities of the same company—could be stripping the country of tax revenue.
The "aggregation" process, where Botswana’s high-quality stones are mixed with lower-quality stones from other De Beers mines (like those in Canada or South Africa), might dilute the premium price Botswana should receive. The Burden of Diversification
Perhaps the most significant "raw deal" isn't about the diamonds themselves, but the dependency they created. Botswana’s economy is a "monoculture." When the diamond market sneezes, Botswana catches a cold.
While De Beers has helped build roads and schools, critics argue the partnership failed to industrialize the country early enough. Now, with mines getting deeper and more expensive to operate (transitioning from open-pit to underground mining), the profit margins are thinning. The government is racing against time to use diamond revenue to build a knowledge-based economy before the pits run dry or the market disappears. Conclusion
Is Botswana getting a raw deal? The answer is nuanced. Compared to other mineral-rich nations in Africa, Botswana has secured an exceptionally favorable arrangement. However, in the context of modern ESG standards and the rise of synthetic competitors, the "old" way of doing business is no longer enough.
The new deal signed in 2023 represents a desperate and necessary grab for sovereignty. Whether it is enough to sustain Botswana's future depends less on De Beers and more on how quickly Gaborone can turn diamond wealth into a post-diamond economy. For now, the partnership remains a "marriage of convenience" where both parties are sleeping with one eye open.
Botswana and De Beers signed a landmark 10-year sales agreement in February 2025, increasing the nation’s share of rough diamonds from 25% to 50% by 2035 and extending mining licenses to 2054. While designed to address economic imbalances, the deal operates amid significant market volatility and rising stockpiles, with some critics questioning if the terms sufficiently mitigate risks. Read the full details of the agreement on Reuters. Botswana's Diamond Stockpile Hits 12m Carats - IDEX Online
De Beers argues that the partnership is symbiotic. They claim that without their global branding (the "Forevermark" and "A Diamond is Forever" campaigns), Botswana’s diamonds would be commoditized and lose their premium value. They also note that they have already ceded ground, allowing the ODC to sell 25% of production independently.
"If Botswana pushes too hard," warns one mining analyst, "De Beers might divert capital to newer discoveries in Canada or Angola. You don't kill the goose that lays the golden egg—but you also don't let the goose starve the farmer."
For decades, the relationship between the Republic of Botswana and the diamond giant De Beers has been hailed as a quintessential model of cooperation between a developing nation and a multinational corporation. Often described as a "marriage," this partnership transformed Botswana from one of the poorest nations in the world at independence in 1966 into an upper-middle-income economy. Is Botswana Getting a Raw Deal From De Beers Diamonds
However, in recent years, the narrative has shifted. As the current sales agreement comes up for renewal, a fierce debate has emerged in global news outlets and diplomatic circles: Is Botswana now getting a raw deal from De Beers?
Date: March 23, 2026.
Is Botswana Getting a Raw Deal From De Beers? For decades, the partnership between
and De Beers was hailed as the ultimate success story in African mining
. But as the global diamond market shifts, the question of whether Botswana is getting its fair share has moved from boardroom whispers to front-page news. The Changing Power Balance
Historically, De Beers controlled the lion's share of production, but the tide is turning. Under the new 10-year sales agreement signed in February 2025 , Botswana has secured a much larger "slice of the pie": Production Share: Okavango Diamond Company (ODC) —Botswana’s state-owned seller—now starts with Debswana’s production, a significant jump from the previous 25%. Future Growth: This share is scheduled to climb to by 2033, effectively giving Botswana equal selling power. Development Funding: De Beers has committed up to 10 billion Pula ($712 million)
to a "Diamonds for Development" fund to help diversify Botswana’s economy. Why "Raw Deal" Talk Persists
Despite these gains, critics and local leaders argue the nation remains vulnerable:
As of April 2026, Botswana has shifted away from a "raw deal" in its diamond partnership with De Beers by securing a 10-year agreement that raises the state’s share of rough diamonds, transitioning toward a 50/50 equity split by 2035. While this February 2025 deal increases local control, Botswana currently faces economic challenges, including a global supply glut, market volatility, and a substantial diamond inventory. For more information, visit Reuters.
Botswana Diamond Glut Crisis Hits 12M Carats in 2026 - Discovery Alert
Is Botswana Getting a Raw Deal From De Beers Diamonds? By The World News Economics Desk
GABORONE – For nearly six decades, the relationship between the Republic of Botswana and the De Beers diamond conglomerate has been heralded as the "Golden Standard" of resource partnership. It is a narrative taught in business schools worldwide: a tiny, post-colonial African nation, emerging from the dirt of poverty in 1966, discovers the world’s richest diamond pipes and strikes a deal with a monopoly giant. The result? Botswana transformed into an upper-middle-income country with free education, low corruption, and a stable currency.
But beneath the polish of that narrative, a seismic shift is occurring. As the global diamond market fragments, synthetic stones flood the market, and De Beers’ grip on the industry loosens, a burning question is echoing from the Kalahari Desert to the corridors of the London Stock Exchange: Is Botswana getting a raw deal from De Beers?
For the first time in history, the government of President Mokgweetsi Masisi is publicly saying "yes"—and demanding a divorce settlement that could shatter the cartel forever.